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FA Cup · England
Worcester City vs Chorley prediction and preview
20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Worcester City host Chorley in the FA Cup (England) on 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.63, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Worcester City 1–0 Chorley.
Going into the match, Worcester City had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 13. Chorley had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Worcester City's last 10 and 7 of Chorley's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Worcester City averaged 1.09 goals scored and 1.18 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Chorley averaged 1.10 scored and 1.40 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.99 goals from Worcester City and 1.12 from Chorley. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 37%, against 35%, 25% and 40% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 44%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Worcester City (green) and Chorley (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worcester City | DLLWD | 1.00 | 1.30 | 50% | 40% |
| Chorley | DWWWW | 1.80 | 1.50 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 Oct 2026 · Chorley 1–1 Worcester City
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.41 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.63 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.08 |
| Chorley Win | 38% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other FA Cup matches that day
- Alvechurch vs Spalding United · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.61 · FT 4–0 - Anstey Nomads vs Macclesfield · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.58 · FT 0–3 - Cray Wanderers vs Bedford Town · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53 · FT 1–1 - United of Manchester vs Altrincham · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 · FT 2–6 - Forest Green vs Chesham United · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 5–0 - Gloucester City vs Barrow · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 · FT 0–2 - Harrogate Town vs Bury · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.65 · FT 3–1 - Stafford Rangers vs Gateshead · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 5–0 - Tadley Calleva vs Aldershot Town · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 0–2 - Yeovil Town vs Leatherhead · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 5–2