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FA Cup · England
Yeovil Town vs Leatherhead prediction and preview
20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Yeovil Town host Leatherhead in the FA Cup (England) on 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Yeovil Town 5–2 Leatherhead.
Going into the match, Yeovil Town had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 28 and conceding 15. Leatherhead had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Yeovil Town's last 10 and 5 of Leatherhead's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Yeovil Town averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.36 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Leatherhead averaged 1.78 scored and 1.44 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.72 goals from Yeovil Town and 1.29 from Leatherhead. From that it rates a home win at 67%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 15%, against 66%, 18% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Yeovil Town (green) and Leatherhead (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yeovil Town | DWWDW | 2.80 | 1.50 | 70% | 70% |
| Leatherhead | DLLWD | 1.60 | 1.40 | 50% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 Oct 2026 · Leatherhead 3–3 Yeovil Town
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.22 |
| Yeovil Town Win | 67% | 1.36 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.64 |
| Yeovil Town HT & FT | 48% | 1.95 |
| 3-0 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other FA Cup matches that day
- Alvechurch vs Spalding United · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.61 · FT 4–0 - Anstey Nomads vs Macclesfield · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.58 · FT 0–3 - Cray Wanderers vs Bedford Town · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53 · FT 1–1 - United of Manchester vs Altrincham · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 · FT 2–6 - Forest Green vs Chesham United · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 5–0 - Gloucester City vs Barrow · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 · FT 0–2 - Harrogate Town vs Bury · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.65 · FT 3–1 - Stafford Rangers vs Gateshead · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 5–0 - Tadley Calleva vs Aldershot Town · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 0–2 - Worcester City vs Chorley · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.63 · FT 1–0