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FA Cup · England
Harrogate Town vs Bury prediction and preview
20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Harrogate Town host Bury in the FA Cup (England) on 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.65, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Harrogate Town 3–1 Bury.
Going into the match, Harrogate Town had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 10. Bury had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 34 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Harrogate Town's last 10 and 6 of Bury's last 10; 6 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Harrogate Town averaged 2.36 goals scored and 1.27 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Bury averaged 1.33 scored and 1.11 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.90 goals from Harrogate Town and 1.47 from Bury. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 29%, against 54%, 23% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Harrogate Town (green) and Bury (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrogate Town | DWWWW | 1.90 | 1.00 | 60% | 60% |
| Bury | DWLWD | 3.40 | 1.10 | 60% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 Oct 2026 · Bury 1–1 Harrogate Town
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.45 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.65 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| Harrogate Town Win | 53% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
| Harrogate Town HT & FT | 36% | 2.60 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other FA Cup matches that day
- Alvechurch vs Spalding United · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.61 · FT 4–0 - Anstey Nomads vs Macclesfield · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.58 · FT 0–3 - Cray Wanderers vs Bedford Town · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53 · FT 1–1 - United of Manchester vs Altrincham · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 · FT 2–6 - Forest Green vs Chesham United · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 5–0 - Gloucester City vs Barrow · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 · FT 0–2 - Stafford Rangers vs Gateshead · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 5–0 - Tadley Calleva vs Aldershot Town · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 0–2 - Worcester City vs Chorley · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.63 · FT 1–0 - Yeovil Town vs Leatherhead · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 5–2