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FA Cup · England
Forest Green vs Chesham United prediction and preview
20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Forest Green host Chesham United in the FA Cup (England) on 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Forest Green 5–0 Chesham United.
Going into the match, Forest Green had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 16. Chesham United had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Forest Green's last 10 and 6 of Chesham United's last 10; 5 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Forest Green averaged 2.08 goals scored and 2.23 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Chesham United averaged 2.20 scored and 2.10 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.68 goals from Forest Green and 1.85 from Chesham United. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 26%, against 68%, 19% and 13% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 83%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Forest Green (green) and Chesham United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forest Green | DLDDL | 1.40 | 1.60 | 60% | 50% |
| Chesham United | DLWLW | 2.30 | 2.20 | 60% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 Oct 2026 · Chesham United 0–0 Forest Green
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Forest Green Win | 73% | 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.51 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.69 |
| Forest Green HT & FT | 49% | 1.91 |
| 3-0 | 10% | 9.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other FA Cup matches that day
- Alvechurch vs Spalding United · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.61 · FT 4–0 - Anstey Nomads vs Macclesfield · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.58 · FT 0–3 - Cray Wanderers vs Bedford Town · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53 · FT 1–1 - United of Manchester vs Altrincham · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 · FT 2–6 - Gloucester City vs Barrow · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 · FT 0–2 - Harrogate Town vs Bury · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.65 · FT 3–1 - Stafford Rangers vs Gateshead · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 5–0 - Tadley Calleva vs Aldershot Town · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 0–2 - Worcester City vs Chorley · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.63 · FT 1–0 - Yeovil Town vs Leatherhead · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 5–2