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FA Cup · England
Alvechurch vs Spalding United prediction and preview
20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Alvechurch host Spalding United in the FA Cup (England) on 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.61, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Alvechurch 4–0 Spalding United.
Going into the match, Alvechurch had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 10. Spalding United had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Alvechurch's last 10 and 6 of Spalding United's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Alvechurch averaged 1.67 goals scored and 0.58 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Spalding United averaged 1.56 scored and 1.44 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.40 goals from Alvechurch and 0.92 from Spalding United. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 24%, against 34%, 26% and 40% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 47%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Alvechurch (green) and Spalding United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alvechurch | DDLWD | 1.70 | 1.00 | 60% | 60% |
| Spalding United | DLWDL | 1.80 | 0.90 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 Oct 2026 · Spalding United 2–2 Alvechurch
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.42 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.61 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.05 |
| Spalding United Win | 41% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other FA Cup matches that day
- Anstey Nomads vs Macclesfield · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.58 · FT 0–3 - Cray Wanderers vs Bedford Town · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53 · FT 1–1 - United of Manchester vs Altrincham · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 · FT 2–6 - Forest Green vs Chesham United · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 5–0 - Gloucester City vs Barrow · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 · FT 0–2 - Harrogate Town vs Bury · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.65 · FT 3–1 - Stafford Rangers vs Gateshead · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 5–0 - Tadley Calleva vs Aldershot Town · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 0–2 - Worcester City vs Chorley · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.63 · FT 1–0 - Yeovil Town vs Leatherhead · 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 5–2