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Non League Premier - Northern · England
Whitby Town vs Curzon Ashton prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Whitby Town host Curzon Ashton in the Non League Premier - Northern (England) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Whitby Town 1–0 Curzon Ashton.
Going into the match, Whitby Town had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 31. Curzon Ashton had won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Whitby Town's last 10 and 6 of Curzon Ashton's last 10; 9 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Whitby Town averaged 0.90 goals scored and 2.50 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Curzon Ashton averaged 2.13 scored and 1.75 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.25 goals from Whitby Town and 2.52 from Curzon Ashton. From that it rates a home win at 17%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 64%, against 23%, 24% and 53% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Whitby Town (green) and Curzon Ashton (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whitby Town | WDLLL | 1.70 | 3.10 | 70% | 90% |
| Curzon Ashton | LWWWW | 2.20 | 1.20 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.55 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.60 |
| Curzon Ashton Win | 56% | 1.70 |
| Curzon Ashton HT & FT | 36% | 2.60 |
| Draw | 23% | 3.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Whitby Town form and statistics
- Curzon Ashton form and statistics
- Non League Premier - Northern statistics
Other Non League Premier - Northern matches that day
- Alfreton Town vs Warrington Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Northern
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 - Ashton United vs Redcar Athletic · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Northern
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.60 · FT 1–2 - Bamber Bridge vs Workington · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Northern
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.42 · FT 1–2 - Gainsborough Trinity vs Hyde United · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Northern
Published pick: Gainsborough Trinity Win @ 1.55 - Ilkeston Town vs Avro · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Northern
Published pick: Avro Win @ 1.44 - Lancaster City vs Leek Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Northern
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.54 · FT 1–2 - Stockton Town vs AFC Emley · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Northern
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.65 · FT 1–3