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Non League Premier - Northern · England
Stockton Town vs AFC Emley prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Stockton Town host AFC Emley in the Non League Premier - Northern (England) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.65, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Stockton Town 1–3 AFC Emley.
Going into the match, Stockton Town had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 17. AFC Emley had won 0, drawn 3 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 5 scored and 28 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Stockton Town's last 10 and 5 of AFC Emley's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Stockton Town averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.64 conceded across 11 matches; away from home AFC Emley averaged 0.73 scored and 1.82 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.55 goals from Stockton Town and 1.11 from AFC Emley. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 26%, against 54%, 24% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 49%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Stockton Town (green) and AFC Emley (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stockton Town | LDWLL | 1.40 | 1.70 | 70% | 60% |
| AFC Emley | DLLLL | 0.50 | 2.80 | 50% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.55 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.65 |
| Stockton Town Win | 57% | 1.65 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.60 |
| Stockton Town HT & FT | 37% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 22% | 3.80 |
| 2-1 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Stockton Town form and statistics
- AFC Emley form and statistics
- Non League Premier - Northern statistics
Other Non League Premier - Northern matches that day
- Alfreton Town vs Warrington Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Northern
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 - Ashton United vs Redcar Athletic · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Northern
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.60 · FT 1–2 - Bamber Bridge vs Workington · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Northern
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.42 · FT 1–2 - Gainsborough Trinity vs Hyde United · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Northern
Published pick: Gainsborough Trinity Win @ 1.55 - Ilkeston Town vs Avro · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Northern
Published pick: Avro Win @ 1.44 - Lancaster City vs Leek Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Northern
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.54 · FT 1–2 - Whitby Town vs Curzon Ashton · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Northern
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.60 · FT 1–0