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Non League Premier - Northern · England
Lancaster City vs Leek Town prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lancaster City host Leek Town in the Non League Premier - Northern (England) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.54, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Lancaster City 1–2 Leek Town.
Going into the match, Lancaster City had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 18. Leek Town had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 24 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Lancaster City's last 10 and 8 of Leek Town's last 10; 5 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lancaster City averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.18 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Leek Town averaged 1.91 scored and 1.36 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.45 goals from Lancaster City and 1.89 from Leek Town. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 47%, against 45%, 26% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lancaster City (green) and Leek Town (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lancaster City | WDLWW | 1.40 | 1.80 | 60% | 50% |
| Leek Town | DDWWL | 2.40 | 2.00 | 80% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.54 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.08 |
| Lancaster City Win | 43% | 2.00 |
| Lancaster City HT & FT | 29% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Lancaster City form and statistics
- Leek Town form and statistics
- Non League Premier - Northern statistics
Other Non League Premier - Northern matches that day
- Alfreton Town vs Warrington Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Northern
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 - Ashton United vs Redcar Athletic · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Northern
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.60 · FT 1–2 - Bamber Bridge vs Workington · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Northern
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.42 · FT 1–2 - Gainsborough Trinity vs Hyde United · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Northern
Published pick: Gainsborough Trinity Win @ 1.55 - Ilkeston Town vs Avro · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Northern
Published pick: Avro Win @ 1.44 - Stockton Town vs AFC Emley · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Northern
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.65 · FT 1–3 - Whitby Town vs Curzon Ashton · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Northern
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.60 · FT 1–0