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Non League Premier - Northern · England
Ashton United vs Redcar Athletic prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ashton United host Redcar Athletic in the Non League Premier - Northern (England) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ashton United 1–2 Redcar Athletic.
Going into the match, Ashton United had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 15. Redcar Athletic had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Ashton United's last 10 and 6 of Redcar Athletic's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ashton United averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Redcar Athletic averaged 2.30 scored and 0.80 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.06 goals from Ashton United and 1.56 from Redcar Athletic. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 48%, against 29%, 25% and 46% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 53%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ashton United (green) and Redcar Athletic (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton United | DDDDL | 1.30 | 1.50 | 60% | 50% |
| Redcar Athletic | WWLWW | 2.10 | 1.00 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.47 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.60 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Redcar Athletic Win | 46% | 1.95 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
| Redcar Athletic HT & FT | 29% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Ashton United form and statistics
- Redcar Athletic form and statistics
- Non League Premier - Northern statistics
Other Non League Premier - Northern matches that day
- Alfreton Town vs Warrington Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Northern
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 - Bamber Bridge vs Workington · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Northern
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.42 · FT 1–2 - Gainsborough Trinity vs Hyde United · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Northern
Published pick: Gainsborough Trinity Win @ 1.55 - Ilkeston Town vs Avro · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Northern
Published pick: Avro Win @ 1.44 - Lancaster City vs Leek Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Northern
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.54 · FT 1–2 - Stockton Town vs AFC Emley · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Northern
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.65 · FT 1–3 - Whitby Town vs Curzon Ashton · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Northern
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.60 · FT 1–0