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Non League Premier - Northern · England
Alfreton Town vs Warrington Town prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Alfreton Town host Warrington Town in the Non League Premier - Northern (England) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Alfreton Town 1–1 Warrington Town.
Going into the match, Alfreton Town had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 13. Warrington Town had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Alfreton Town's last 10 and 6 of Warrington Town's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Alfreton Town averaged 1.28 goals scored and 1.61 conceded across 18 matches; away from home Warrington Town averaged 1.60 scored and 1.50 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.23 goals from Alfreton Town and 1.43 from Warrington Town. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 41%, against 44%, 25% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Alfreton Town (green) and Warrington Town (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfreton Town | DLWLW | 1.20 | 1.30 | 50% | 50% |
| Warrington Town | WDDLD | 1.90 | 1.50 | 60% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.23 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.31 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.46 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
| Alfreton Town Win | 43% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Alfreton Town form and statistics
- Warrington Town form and statistics
- Non League Premier - Northern statistics
Other Non League Premier - Northern matches that day
- Ashton United vs Redcar Athletic · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Northern
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.60 · FT 1–2 - Bamber Bridge vs Workington · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Northern
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.42 · FT 1–2 - Gainsborough Trinity vs Hyde United · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Northern
Published pick: Gainsborough Trinity Win @ 1.55 - Ilkeston Town vs Avro · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Northern
Published pick: Avro Win @ 1.44 - Lancaster City vs Leek Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Northern
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.54 · FT 1–2 - Stockton Town vs AFC Emley · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Northern
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.65 · FT 1–3 - Whitby Town vs Curzon Ashton · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Northern
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.60 · FT 1–0