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Non League Premier - Northern · England
Ilkeston Town vs Avro prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ilkeston Town host Avro in the Non League Premier - Northern (England) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Avro Win — Avro to win. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ilkeston Town 2–0 Avro.
Going into the match, Ilkeston Town had won 0, drawn 0 and lost 10 of their last 10 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 31. Avro had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 24 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Ilkeston Town's last 10 and 5 of Avro's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ilkeston Town averaged 1.09 goals scored and 1.91 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Avro averaged 2.50 scored and 1.30 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.21 goals from Ilkeston Town and 2.78 from Avro. From that it rates a home win at 14%, a draw at 17% and an away win at 70%, against 16%, 22% and 63% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ilkeston Town (green) and Avro (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilkeston Town | LLLLL | 0.50 | 3.10 | 50% | 70% |
| Avro | LLWWW | 2.40 | 1.90 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.21 |
| Avro Win | 66% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.56 |
| Avro 1st Half Win | 57% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.71 |
| Avro HT & FT | 52% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 39% | 2.35 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Non League Premier - Northern matches that day
- Alfreton Town vs Warrington Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Northern
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 - Ashton United vs Redcar Athletic · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Northern
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.60 · FT 1–2 - Bamber Bridge vs Workington · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Northern
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.42 · FT 1–2 - Gainsborough Trinity vs Hyde United · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Northern
Published pick: Gainsborough Trinity Win @ 1.55 - Lancaster City vs Leek Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Northern
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.54 · FT 1–2 - Stockton Town vs AFC Emley · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Northern
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.65 · FT 1–3 - Whitby Town vs Curzon Ashton · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Non League Premier - Northern
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.60 · FT 1–0