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Second League · Bulgaria
Vihren vs Marek prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Vihren host Marek in the Second League (Bulgaria) on 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Vihren had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 23 and conceding 11. Marek had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Vihren's last 10 and 3 of Marek's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Vihren averaged 2.09 goals scored and 0.82 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Marek averaged 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.81 goals from Vihren and 0.65 from Marek. From that it rates a home win at 64%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 12%, against 75%, 18% and 7% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 45%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Vihren (green) and Marek (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 18 Jul 2026 · Vihren 1–0 Marek
- 10 Apr 2026 · Marek 1–0 Vihren
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Vihren Win | 75% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.38 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.43 |
| BTTS No | 62% | 1.48 |
| Vihren HT & FT | 56% | 1.67 |
| Vihren 1st Half Win | 56% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.67 |
| 3-0 | 13% | 7.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Second League matches that day
- Beroe vs Rilski Sportist · 23 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Second League
Published pick: Beroe Win @ 1.57 - Hebar 1918 vs Nesebar · 23 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Second League
Published pick: Hebar 1918 Win @ 1.48 - Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Pirin Blagoevgrad · 23 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Second League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.73 - Spartak Pleven vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo · 23 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Second League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53 - Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Sportist Svoge · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Second League
Published pick: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas Win @ 1.20 - CSKA Sofia II vs Yantra 2019 · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Second League
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.80