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Second League · Bulgaria
Spartak Pleven vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Spartak Pleven host Etar Veliko Tarnovo in the Second League (Bulgaria) on 23 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Spartak Pleven had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 22. Etar Veliko Tarnovo had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 23 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Spartak Pleven's last 10 and 8 of Etar Veliko Tarnovo's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Spartak Pleven averaged 1.44 goals scored and 1.22 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Etar Veliko Tarnovo averaged 2.08 scored and 2.67 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.64 goals from Spartak Pleven and 2.27 from Etar Veliko Tarnovo. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 51%, against 36%, 27% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Spartak Pleven (green) and Etar Veliko Tarnovo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Pleven | LDWLW | 0.80 | 2.20 | 40% | 60% |
| Etar Veliko Tarnovo | LWWLL | 1.60 | 2.30 | 80% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.46 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.70 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.10 |
| Etar Veliko Tarnovo Win | 37% | 2.45 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Second League matches that day
- Beroe vs Rilski Sportist · 23 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Second League
Published pick: Beroe Win @ 1.57 - Hebar 1918 vs Nesebar · 23 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Second League
Published pick: Hebar 1918 Win @ 1.48 - Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Pirin Blagoevgrad · 23 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Second League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.73 - Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Sportist Svoge · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Second League
Published pick: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas Win @ 1.20 - CSKA Sofia II vs Yantra 2019 · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Second League
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.80 - Vihren vs Marek · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Second League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.67