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Second League · Bulgaria

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Sportist Svoge prediction and preview

23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas WinOdds 1.20Market probability 75%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas host Sportist Svoge in the Second League (Bulgaria) on 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Chernomorets 1919 Burgas Win — Chernomorets 1919 Burgas to win. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Chernomorets 1919 Burgas had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 9. Sportist Svoge had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 6 scored and 12 conceded.

Both teams scored in 2 of Chernomorets 1919 Burgas's last 10 and 4 of Sportist Svoge's last 10; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Chernomorets 1919 Burgas averaged 1.09 goals scored and 0.82 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Sportist Svoge averaged 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded across 10.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.52 goals from Chernomorets 1919 Burgas and 0.53 from Sportist Svoge. From that it rates a home win at 61%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 12%, against 75%, 18% and 7% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Chernomorets 1919 Burgas (green) and Sportist Svoge (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form76% – 24%
Attack78% – 22%
Defence64% – 36%
Head-to-head50% – 50%
Goals50% – 50%
Overall strength69% – 31%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Chernomorets 1919 BurgasLWWWW2.000.9020%60%
Sportist SvogeLDLWL0.601.2040%30%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas Win75%1.20
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals68%1.33
BTTS No63%1.45
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals63%1.43
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 1st Half Win56%1.62
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas HT & FT54%1.73
Over 2.5 Goals52%1.85
Under 2.5 Goals48%1.95

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other Second League matches that day