Home › League stats › Second League › Beroe vs Rilski Sportist
Second League · Bulgaria
Beroe vs Rilski Sportist prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Beroe host Rilski Sportist in the Second League (Bulgaria) on 23 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Beroe Win — Beroe to win. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Beroe had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 15. Rilski Sportist had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Beroe's last 10 and 5 of Rilski Sportist's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Beroe averaged 1.50 goals scored and 0.64 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Rilski Sportist averaged 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.24 goals from Beroe and 0.89 from Rilski Sportist. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 25%, against 58%, 25% and 17% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 43%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Beroe (green) and Rilski Sportist (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beroe | LLWWL | 1.60 | 1.50 | 50% | 70% |
| Rilski Sportist | LDWWW | 1.70 | 0.80 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.31 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.38 |
| Beroe Win | 57% | 1.57 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.63 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.20 |
| Beroe HT & FT | 39% | 2.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Second League matches that day
- Hebar 1918 vs Nesebar · 23 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Second League
Published pick: Hebar 1918 Win @ 1.48 - Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Pirin Blagoevgrad · 23 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Second League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.73 - Spartak Pleven vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo · 23 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Second League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53 - Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Sportist Svoge · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Second League
Published pick: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas Win @ 1.20 - CSKA Sofia II vs Yantra 2019 · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Second League
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.80 - Vihren vs Marek · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Second League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.67