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Second League · Bulgaria
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Pirin Blagoevgrad prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa host Pirin Blagoevgrad in the Second League (Bulgaria) on 23 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.73, which the bookmaker market rated at about 54% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Pirin Blagoevgrad had won 0, drawn 2 and lost 8 of their last 10, with 5 scored and 28 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa's last 10 and 4 of Pirin Blagoevgrad's last 10; 3 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa averaged 1.09 goals scored and 1.27 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Pirin Blagoevgrad averaged 0.45 scored and 2.82 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.00 goals from Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa and 0.56 from Pirin Blagoevgrad. From that it rates a home win at 71%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 9%, against 77%, 17% and 6% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 47%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa (green) and Pirin Blagoevgrad (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | DDWDW | 1.00 | 0.70 | 40% | 30% |
| Pirin Blagoevgrad | LDDLL | 0.50 | 2.80 | 40% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.38 |
| BTTS No | 64% | 1.42 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.41 |
| Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 1st Half Win | 58% | 1.57 |
| Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa HT & FT | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| 3-0 | 14% | 6.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa form and statistics
- Pirin Blagoevgrad form and statistics
- Second League statistics
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Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.67