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III Liga - Group 2 · Poland
Unia Swarzędz vs Victoria Września prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Unia Swarzędz host Victoria Września in the III Liga - Group 2 (Poland) on 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Unia Swarzędz 0–0 Victoria Września.
Going into the match, Unia Swarzędz had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 17. Victoria Września had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Unia Swarzędz's last 10 and 5 of Victoria Września's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Unia Swarzędz averaged 2.15 goals scored and 1.54 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Victoria Września averaged 0.67 scored and 1.44 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.72 goals from Unia Swarzędz and 0.95 from Victoria Września. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 20%, against 57%, 22% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 50%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Unia Swarzędz (green) and Victoria Września (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unia Swarzędz | DWWLL | 1.80 | 1.70 | 50% | 50% |
| Victoria Września | WDDDD | 1.00 | 1.70 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 13 May 2026 · Unia Swarzędz 2–1 Victoria Września
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.23 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.58 |
| Unia Swarzędz Win | 57% | 1.57 |
| Unia Swarzędz HT & FT | 39% | 2.40 |
| 2-1 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other III Liga - Group 2 matches that day
- Elana Toruń vs Kotwica Kórnik · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Kluczevia Stargard vs Luzino · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.42 · FT 3–2 - Lipno Stęszew vs Kalisz · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.60 - Noteć Czarnków vs Bałtyk Koszalin · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Gedania Gdansk vs Stargard Szczeciński · 17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 2–2 - Grom Nowy Staw vs Chemik Bydgoszcz · 17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 2–0