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III Liga - Group 2 · Poland
Kluczevia Stargard vs Luzino prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kluczevia Stargard host Luzino in the III Liga - Group 2 (Poland) on 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.42, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Kluczevia Stargard 3–2 Luzino.
Going into the match, Kluczevia Stargard had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 16. Luzino had won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 26 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Kluczevia Stargard's last 10 and 7 of Luzino's last 10; 7 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kluczevia Stargard averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Luzino averaged 2.29 scored and 1.29 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.58 goals from Kluczevia Stargard and 2.09 from Luzino. From that it rates a home win at 28%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 49%, against 36%, 24% and 40% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kluczevia Stargard (green) and Luzino (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kluczevia Stargard | LLWWL | 1.90 | 1.60 | 70% | 70% |
| Luzino | WLWWW | 2.60 | 1.20 | 70% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 30 May 2026 · Luzino 3–2 Kluczevia Stargard
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.42 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.59 |
| Luzino Win | 40% | 2.25 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 38% | 2.38 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other III Liga - Group 2 matches that day
- Elana Toruń vs Kotwica Kórnik · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Lipno Stęszew vs Kalisz · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.60 - Noteć Czarnków vs Bałtyk Koszalin · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Unia Swarzędz vs Victoria Września · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.60 - Gedania Gdansk vs Stargard Szczeciński · 17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 2–2 - Grom Nowy Staw vs Chemik Bydgoszcz · 17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 2–0