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III Liga - Group 2 · Poland
Gedania Gdansk vs Stargard Szczeciński prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gedania Gdansk host Stargard Szczeciński in the III Liga - Group 2 (Poland) on 17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Gedania Gdansk 2–2 Stargard Szczeciński.
Going into the match, Gedania Gdansk had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 21. Stargard Szczeciński had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 28 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Gedania Gdansk's last 10 and 8 of Stargard Szczeciński's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gedania Gdansk averaged 2.43 goals scored and 1.86 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Stargard Szczeciński averaged 1.90 scored and 1.40 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.93 goals from Gedania Gdansk and 2.57 from Stargard Szczeciński. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 52%, against 28%, 23% and 49% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 83%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Gedania Gdansk (green) and Stargard Szczeciński (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gedania Gdansk | WDLWD | 1.90 | 2.10 | 80% | 70% |
| Stargard Szczeciński | LWDDW | 2.80 | 2.00 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.21 |
| Double Chance X2 | 72% | 1.28 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.39 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.64 |
| Stargard Szczeciński Win | 49% | 1.85 |
| Stargard Szczeciński HT & FT | 32% | 2.88 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Gedania Gdansk form and statistics
- Stargard Szczeciński form and statistics
- III Liga - Group 2 statistics
Other III Liga - Group 2 matches that day
- Elana Toruń vs Kotwica Kórnik · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Kluczevia Stargard vs Luzino · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.42 · FT 3–2 - Lipno Stęszew vs Kalisz · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.60 - Noteć Czarnków vs Bałtyk Koszalin · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Unia Swarzędz vs Victoria Września · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.60 - Grom Nowy Staw vs Chemik Bydgoszcz · 17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 2–0