Home › League stats › III Liga - Group 2 › Grom Nowy Staw vs Chemik Bydgoszcz
III Liga - Group 2 · Poland
Grom Nowy Staw vs Chemik Bydgoszcz prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Grom Nowy Staw host Chemik Bydgoszcz in the III Liga - Group 2 (Poland) on 17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Grom Nowy Staw 2–0 Chemik Bydgoszcz.
Going into the match, Grom Nowy Staw had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 24 and conceding 26. Chemik Bydgoszcz had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Grom Nowy Staw's last 10 and 8 of Chemik Bydgoszcz's last 10; 9 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Grom Nowy Staw averaged 2.75 goals scored and 2.13 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Chemik Bydgoszcz averaged 2.00 scored and 1.43 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.59 goals from Grom Nowy Staw and 1.62 from Chemik Bydgoszcz. From that it rates a home win at 58%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 23%, against 43%, 24% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Grom Nowy Staw (green) and Chemik Bydgoszcz (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grom Nowy Staw | LLWWL | 2.40 | 2.60 | 80% | 90% |
| Chemik Bydgoszcz | LWDDD | 1.40 | 2.20 | 80% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 70% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 1.39 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.64 |
| Grom Nowy Staw Win | 43% | 2.10 |
| Grom Nowy Staw HT & FT | 29% | 3.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other III Liga - Group 2 matches that day
- Elana Toruń vs Kotwica Kórnik · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Kluczevia Stargard vs Luzino · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.42 · FT 3–2 - Lipno Stęszew vs Kalisz · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.60 - Noteć Czarnków vs Bałtyk Koszalin · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Unia Swarzędz vs Victoria Września · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.60 - Gedania Gdansk vs Stargard Szczeciński · 17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 2–2