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III Liga - Group 2 · Poland
Elana Toruń vs Kotwica Kórnik prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Elana Toruń host Kotwica Kórnik in the III Liga - Group 2 (Poland) on 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Elana Toruń 3–1 Kotwica Kórnik.
Going into the match, Elana Toruń had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 19. Kotwica Kórnik had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 26 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Elana Toruń's last 10 and 6 of Kotwica Kórnik's last 10; 8 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Elana Toruń averaged 1.08 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Kotwica Kórnik averaged 0.83 scored and 3.50 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.51 goals from Elana Toruń and 1.82 from Kotwica Kórnik. From that it rates a home win at 53%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 27%, against 52%, 23% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 81%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Elana Toruń (green) and Kotwica Kórnik (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elana Toruń | WWDDL | 1.40 | 1.90 | 80% | 80% |
| Kotwica Kórnik | LLLWW | 1.60 | 2.60 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.27 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.46 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.65 |
| Elana Toruń Win | 53% | 1.70 |
| Elana Toruń HT & FT | 36% | 2.60 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other III Liga - Group 2 matches that day
- Kluczevia Stargard vs Luzino · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.42 · FT 3–2 - Lipno Stęszew vs Kalisz · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.60 - Noteć Czarnków vs Bałtyk Koszalin · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Unia Swarzędz vs Victoria Września · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.60 - Gedania Gdansk vs Stargard Szczeciński · 17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 2–2 - Grom Nowy Staw vs Chemik Bydgoszcz · 17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 2–0