Home › League stats › National League - South › Torquay vs Maidstone Utd
National League - South · England
Torquay vs Maidstone Utd prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Torquay host Maidstone Utd in the National League - South (England) on 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Torquay had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 13. Maidstone Utd had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Torquay's last 10 and 7 of Maidstone Utd's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Torquay averaged 2.31 goals scored and 1.15 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Maidstone Utd averaged 2.18 scored and 0.91 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.27 goals from Torquay and 1.53 from Maidstone Utd. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 42%, against 48%, 25% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torquay | LWWLW | 2.20 | 1.30 | 50% | 60% |
| Maidstone Utd | WWLLD | 1.50 | 1.10 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other National League - South matches that day
- Chelmsford City vs Tonbridge Angels · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - South
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 - Dagenham & Redbridge vs Chesham United · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - South
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Ebbsfleet United vs Maidenhead · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - South
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Farnham Town vs Braintree · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - South
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Folkestone Invicta vs Farnborough · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - South
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Hampton & Richmond vs Truro City · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - South
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Hemel Hempstead Town vs AFC Totton · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - South
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Horsham vs Walton & Hersham · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - South
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Salisbury vs Dover · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - South
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Slough Town vs Dorking Wanderers · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - South
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 - Weston-super-Mare vs Billericay Town · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - South
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44