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National League - South · England
Ebbsfleet United vs Maidenhead prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ebbsfleet United host Maidenhead in the National League - South (England) on 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Ebbsfleet United had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 24 and conceding 9. Maidenhead had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Ebbsfleet United's last 10 and 5 of Maidenhead's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ebbsfleet United averaged 2.09 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Maidenhead averaged 1.25 scored and 0.92 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.69 goals from Ebbsfleet United and 0.87 from Maidenhead. From that it rates a home win at 56%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 18%, against 58%, 22% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebbsfleet United | DWWWW | 2.40 | 0.90 | 70% | 60% |
| Maidenhead | LLWLD | 1.30 | 1.50 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 19 Sep 2026 · Maidenhead 1–3 Ebbsfleet United
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 79% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.51 |
| Ebbsfleet United Win | 59% | 1.55 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Ebbsfleet United form and statistics
- Maidenhead form and statistics
- National League - South statistics
Other National League - South matches that day
- Chelmsford City vs Tonbridge Angels · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - South
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 - Dagenham & Redbridge vs Chesham United · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - South
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Farnham Town vs Braintree · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - South
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Folkestone Invicta vs Farnborough · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - South
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Hampton & Richmond vs Truro City · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - South
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Hemel Hempstead Town vs AFC Totton · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - South
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Horsham vs Walton & Hersham · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - South
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Salisbury vs Dover · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - South
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Slough Town vs Dorking Wanderers · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - South
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 - Torquay vs Maidstone Utd · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - South
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Weston-super-Mare vs Billericay Town · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - South
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44