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National League - South · England
Dagenham & Redbridge vs Chesham United prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Dagenham & Redbridge host Chesham United in the National League - South (England) on 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Dagenham & Redbridge had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 9. Chesham United had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 27 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Dagenham & Redbridge's last 10 and 6 of Chesham United's last 10; 2 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Dagenham & Redbridge averaged 1.50 goals scored and 0.40 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Chesham United averaged 2.00 scored and 2.36 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.72 goals from Dagenham & Redbridge and 0.95 from Chesham United. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 20%, against 53%, 24% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dagenham & Redbridge | LDLWW | 0.80 | 0.90 | 30% | 20% |
| Chesham United | LDLWL | 1.90 | 2.70 | 60% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 1X | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
| Dagenham & Redbridge Win | 54% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Dagenham & Redbridge form and statistics
- Chesham United form and statistics
- National League - South statistics
Other National League - South matches that day
- Chelmsford City vs Tonbridge Angels · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - South
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 - Ebbsfleet United vs Maidenhead · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - South
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Farnham Town vs Braintree · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - South
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Folkestone Invicta vs Farnborough · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - South
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Hampton & Richmond vs Truro City · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - South
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Hemel Hempstead Town vs AFC Totton · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - South
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Horsham vs Walton & Hersham · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - South
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Salisbury vs Dover · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - South
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Slough Town vs Dorking Wanderers · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - South
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 - Torquay vs Maidstone Utd · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - South
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Weston-super-Mare vs Billericay Town · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - South
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44