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National League - South · England
Hemel Hempstead Town vs AFC Totton prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hemel Hempstead Town host AFC Totton in the National League - South (England) on 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Hemel Hempstead Town had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 11. AFC Totton had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 8 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Hemel Hempstead Town's last 10 and 4 of AFC Totton's last 10; 2 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hemel Hempstead Town averaged 1.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded across 10 matches; away from home AFC Totton averaged 1.00 scored and 2.14 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.29 goals from Hemel Hempstead Town and 0.52 from AFC Totton. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 14%, against 57%, 23% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 89%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hemel Hempstead Town | LDWLD | 0.70 | 1.10 | 50% | 20% |
| AFC Totton | LLLLL | 0.70 | 2.20 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Win | 57% | 1.55 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Hemel Hempstead Town form and statistics
- AFC Totton form and statistics
- National League - South statistics
Other National League - South matches that day
- Chelmsford City vs Tonbridge Angels · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - South
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 - Dagenham & Redbridge vs Chesham United · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - South
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Ebbsfleet United vs Maidenhead · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - South
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Farnham Town vs Braintree · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - South
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Folkestone Invicta vs Farnborough · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - South
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Hampton & Richmond vs Truro City · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - South
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Horsham vs Walton & Hersham · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - South
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Salisbury vs Dover · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - South
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Slough Town vs Dorking Wanderers · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - South
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 - Torquay vs Maidstone Utd · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - South
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Weston-super-Mare vs Billericay Town · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - South
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44