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National League - South · England
Hampton & Richmond vs Truro City prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hampton & Richmond host Truro City in the National League - South (England) on 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Hampton & Richmond had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 22. Truro City had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Hampton & Richmond's last 10 and 5 of Truro City's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hampton & Richmond averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.75 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Truro City averaged 1.10 scored and 0.80 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.59 goals from Hampton & Richmond and 2.16 from Truro City. From that it rates a home win at 8%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 73%, against 20%, 24% and 56% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hampton & Richmond | LLLDD | 1.50 | 2.20 | 70% | 50% |
| Truro City | LWWDW | 1.70 | 0.80 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Truro City Win | 57% | 1.60 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Hampton & Richmond form and statistics
- Truro City form and statistics
- National League - South statistics
Other National League - South matches that day
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Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44