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National League - South · England
Chelmsford City vs Tonbridge Angels prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Chelmsford City host Tonbridge Angels in the National League - South (England) on 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Chelmsford City had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 7. Tonbridge Angels had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Chelmsford City's last 10 and 5 of Tonbridge Angels's last 10; 2 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Chelmsford City averaged 0.67 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Tonbridge Angels averaged 2.71 scored and 0.57 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.06 goals from Chelmsford City and 0.84 from Tonbridge Angels. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 27%, against 48%, 26% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 38%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelmsford City | LWWDW | 1.50 | 0.70 | 40% | 20% |
| Tonbridge Angels | WWLLW | 1.70 | 0.90 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.36 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 61% | 1.51 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.80 |
| Chelmsford City Win | 48% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Chelmsford City form and statistics
- Tonbridge Angels form and statistics
- National League - South statistics
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