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Bundesliga · Germany
SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
SV Elversberg host FC Augsburg in the Bundesliga (Germany) on 17 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: SV Elversberg 4–3 FC Augsburg.
Going into the match, SV Elversberg had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 15. FC Augsburg had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 35 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of SV Elversberg's last 10 and 6 of FC Augsburg's last 10; 7 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home SV Elversberg averaged 2.86 goals scored and 1.14 conceded across 7 matches; away from home FC Augsburg averaged 3.50 scored and 1.75 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.61 goals from SV Elversberg and 1.90 from FC Augsburg. From that it rates a home win at 53%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 28%, against 38%, 25% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between SV Elversberg (green) and FC Augsburg (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV Elversberg | LLDLW | 2.20 | 1.50 | 80% | 70% |
| FC Augsburg | DDLDW | 3.50 | 1.60 | 60% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.33 |
| BTTS Yes | 67% | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Bundesliga matches that day
- Bayern München vs RB Leipzig · 17 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: Bayern München Win @ 1.22 - Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund · 17 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart · 17 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 - Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 · 17 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 2–2 - FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05 · 17 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53 · FT 0–1