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Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · Spain
SS Reyes vs Calvo Sotelo prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
SS Reyes host Calvo Sotelo in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (Spain) on 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is SS Reyes Win — SS Reyes to win. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: SS Reyes 2–1 Calvo Sotelo.
Going into the match, SS Reyes had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 11. Calvo Sotelo had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of SS Reyes's last 10 and 2 of Calvo Sotelo's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home SS Reyes averaged 0.75 goals scored and 0.88 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Calvo Sotelo averaged 1.00 scored and 1.75 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.58 goals from SS Reyes and 0.52 from Calvo Sotelo. From that it rates a home win at 62%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 11%, against 59%, 25% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between SS Reyes (green) and Calvo Sotelo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SS Reyes | LWLDW | 1.10 | 1.10 | 30% | 40% |
| Calvo Sotelo | DLWLD | 0.70 | 1.00 | 20% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.42 |
| SS Reyes Win | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 58% | 1.60 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
| SS Reyes HT & FT | 40% | 2.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- SS Reyes form and statistics
- Calvo Sotelo form and statistics
- Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 statistics
Other Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 matches that day
- Numancia vs CF Talavera · 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 · FT 0–0 - Salamanca UDS vs Navalcarnero · 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.95 - Atlético Tordesillas vs Guadalajara · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Published pick: Double Chance X2 · FT 3–0 - Conquense vs Atlético Paso · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Published pick: Conquense Win @ 1.50 - RSD Alcalá vs Real Madrid III · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.25 · FT 0–0 - Getafe II vs Albacete II · 18 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Published pick: 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals @ 1.33 · FT 2–2 - Real Valladolid II vs Real Ávila · 18 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.58 · FT 2–1