Home › League stats › Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 › RSD Alcalá vs Real Madrid III
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · Spain
RSD Alcalá vs Real Madrid III prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
RSD Alcalá host Real Madrid III in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (Spain) on 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — RSD Alcalá to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: RSD Alcalá 0–0 Real Madrid III.
Going into the match, RSD Alcalá had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 13. Real Madrid III had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 4 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of RSD Alcalá's last 10 and 2 of Real Madrid III's last 10; 7 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home RSD Alcalá averaged 2.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Real Madrid III averaged 0.88 scored and 0.75 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.87 goals from RSD Alcalá and 0.53 from Real Madrid III. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 40% and an away win at 20%, against 46%, 28% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between RSD Alcalá (green) and Real Madrid III (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RSD Alcalá | DLLWL | 1.50 | 1.30 | 50% | 70% |
| Real Madrid III | DDLLD | 0.40 | 0.90 | 20% | 10% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.43 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.83 |
| RSD Alcalá Win | 46% | 1.95 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- RSD Alcalá form and statistics
- Real Madrid III form and statistics
- Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 statistics
Other Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 matches that day
- Numancia vs CF Talavera · 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 · FT 0–0 - Salamanca UDS vs Navalcarnero · 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.95 - Atlético Tordesillas vs Guadalajara · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Published pick: Double Chance X2 · FT 3–0 - Conquense vs Atlético Paso · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Published pick: Conquense Win @ 1.50 - SS Reyes vs Calvo Sotelo · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Published pick: SS Reyes Win @ 1.53 · FT 2–1 - Getafe II vs Albacete II · 18 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Published pick: 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals @ 1.33 · FT 2–2 - Real Valladolid II vs Real Ávila · 18 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.58 · FT 2–1