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Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · Spain
Numancia vs CF Talavera prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Numancia host CF Talavera in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (Spain) on 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Numancia to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Numancia 0–0 CF Talavera.
Going into the match, Numancia had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 5. CF Talavera had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Numancia's last 10 and 5 of CF Talavera's last 10; 2 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Numancia averaged 1.33 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 6 matches; away from home CF Talavera averaged 1.29 scored and 1.14 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.88 goals from Numancia and 0.44 from CF Talavera. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 40% and an away win at 17%, against 45%, 29% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 84%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Numancia (green) and CF Talavera (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Numancia | DDWDW | 1.00 | 0.50 | 30% | 20% |
| CF Talavera | WWWDD | 1.20 | 0.90 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.22 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 59% | 1.58 |
| BTTS No | 57% | 1.63 |
| Numancia Win | 44% | 2.00 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 37% | 2.38 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Numancia HT & FT | 29% | 3.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Numancia form and statistics
- CF Talavera form and statistics
- Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 statistics
Other Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 matches that day
- Salamanca UDS vs Navalcarnero · 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.95 - Atlético Tordesillas vs Guadalajara · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Published pick: Double Chance X2 · FT 3–0 - Conquense vs Atlético Paso · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Published pick: Conquense Win @ 1.50 - RSD Alcalá vs Real Madrid III · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.25 · FT 0–0 - SS Reyes vs Calvo Sotelo · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Published pick: SS Reyes Win @ 1.53 · FT 2–1 - Getafe II vs Albacete II · 18 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Published pick: 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals @ 1.33 · FT 2–2 - Real Valladolid II vs Real Ávila · 18 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.58 · FT 2–1