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Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · Spain
Real Valladolid II vs Real Ávila prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Real Valladolid II host Real Ávila in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (Spain) on 18 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.58, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Real Valladolid II 2–1 Real Ávila.
Going into the match, Real Valladolid II had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 9. Real Ávila had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Real Valladolid II's last 10 and 5 of Real Ávila's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Real Valladolid II averaged 2.57 goals scored and 0.71 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Real Ávila averaged 1.00 scored and 2.17 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.29 goals from Real Valladolid II and 0.84 from Real Ávila. From that it rates a home win at 69%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 11%, against 41%, 27% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Real Valladolid II (green) and Real Ávila (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Valladolid II | DWLWL | 1.80 | 0.90 | 40% | 40% |
| Real Ávila | DLWWL | 1.10 | 1.70 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.21 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.51 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.58 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.00 |
| Real Valladolid II Win | 42% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Real Valladolid II form and statistics
- Real Ávila form and statistics
- Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 statistics
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