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Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · Spain
Conquense vs Atlético Paso prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Conquense host Atlético Paso in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (Spain) on 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Conquense Win — Conquense to win. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Conquense 2–2 Atlético Paso.
Going into the match, Conquense had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 11. Atlético Paso had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Conquense's last 10 and 5 of Atlético Paso's last 10; 5 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Conquense averaged 1.43 goals scored and 0.71 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Atlético Paso averaged 0.83 scored and 1.00 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.95 goals from Conquense and 0.88 from Atlético Paso. From that it rates a home win at 61%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 15%, against 61%, 24% and 15% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Conquense (green) and Atlético Paso (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conquense | WLWWW | 1.50 | 1.10 | 50% | 50% |
| Atlético Paso | LWDLD | 0.80 | 1.00 | 50% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.43 |
| Conquense Win | 61% | 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 58% | 1.59 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
| Conquense HT & FT | 41% | 2.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Conquense form and statistics
- Atlético Paso form and statistics
- Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 statistics
Other Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 matches that day
- Numancia vs CF Talavera · 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 · FT 0–0 - Salamanca UDS vs Navalcarnero · 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
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Published pick: Double Chance X2 · FT 3–0 - RSD Alcalá vs Real Madrid III · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.25 · FT 0–0 - SS Reyes vs Calvo Sotelo · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Published pick: SS Reyes Win @ 1.53 · FT 2–1 - Getafe II vs Albacete II · 18 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Published pick: 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals @ 1.33 · FT 2–2 - Real Valladolid II vs Real Ávila · 18 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.58 · FT 2–1