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Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · Spain
Salamanca UDS vs Navalcarnero prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Salamanca UDS host Navalcarnero in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (Spain) on 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.95, which the bookmaker market rated at about 51% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Salamanca UDS 1–1 Navalcarnero.
Going into the match, Salamanca UDS had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 16. Navalcarnero had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Salamanca UDS's last 10 and 7 of Navalcarnero's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Salamanca UDS averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Navalcarnero averaged 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.48 goals from Salamanca UDS and 1.72 from Navalcarnero. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 43%, against 46%, 26% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 38%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Salamanca UDS (green) and Navalcarnero (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salamanca UDS | LWLWW | 1.80 | 1.60 | 60% | 70% |
| Navalcarnero | DDWWL | 1.80 | 1.20 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.38 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.39 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.95 |
| Salamanca UDS Win | 46% | 1.95 |
| Salamanca UDS HT & FT | 30% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Salamanca UDS form and statistics
- Navalcarnero form and statistics
- Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 statistics
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