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Ligue 3 · France
Rouen vs Concarneau prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 13:45 UTC · Stade Robert Diochon, Rouen
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Rouen host Concarneau in the Ligue 3 (France) on 31 Oct 2026, 13:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Rouen to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Rouen had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 8. Concarneau had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Rouen's last 10 and 6 of Concarneau's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Rouen averaged 1.44 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Concarneau averaged 1.22 scored and 0.78 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.25 goals from Rouen and 0.85 from Concarneau. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 24%, against 46%, 28% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Rouen (green) and Concarneau (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rouen | LWLWW | 1.80 | 0.80 | 40% | 50% |
| Concarneau | DWDWW | 1.30 | 0.90 | 60% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 Apr 2026 · Concarneau 0–0 Rouen
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 57% | 1.65 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.73 |
| Rouen Win | 47% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ligue 3 matches that day
- Bastia vs Quevilly · 31 Oct 2026, 13:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Cannes vs Valenciennes · 31 Oct 2026, 13:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Fleury 91 vs Gobelins · 31 Oct 2026, 13:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 - La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01 · 31 Oct 2026, 13:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Le Puy Foot vs Caen · 31 Oct 2026, 13:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.20 - Orleans vs Villefranche · 31 Oct 2026, 13:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Orleans Over 0.5 Goals @ 1.20 - Versailles vs Aubagne · 31 Oct 2026, 13:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.36