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Ligue 3 · France
Cannes vs Valenciennes prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 13:45 UTC · Stade Pierre de Coubertin, Cannes
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cannes host Valenciennes in the Ligue 3 (France) on 31 Oct 2026, 13:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Cannes had won 3, drawn 6 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 6. Valenciennes had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Cannes's last 10 and 6 of Valenciennes's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cannes averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Valenciennes averaged 1.00 scored and 1.45 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.63 goals from Cannes and 0.80 from Valenciennes. From that it rates a home win at 56%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 17%, against 53%, 26% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Cannes (green) and Valenciennes (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cannes | LWDDD | 1.20 | 0.60 | 50% | 30% |
| Valenciennes | DLWLL | 1.00 | 1.50 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Cannes Win | 54% | 1.70 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.90 |
| BTTS No | 49% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ligue 3 matches that day
- Bastia vs Quevilly · 31 Oct 2026, 13:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Fleury 91 vs Gobelins · 31 Oct 2026, 13:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 - La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01 · 31 Oct 2026, 13:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Le Puy Foot vs Caen · 31 Oct 2026, 13:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.20 - Orleans vs Villefranche · 31 Oct 2026, 13:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Orleans Over 0.5 Goals @ 1.20 - Rouen vs Concarneau · 31 Oct 2026, 13:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 - Versailles vs Aubagne · 31 Oct 2026, 13:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.36