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Ligue 3 · France
Orleans vs Villefranche prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 13:45 UTC · Stade de la Source
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Orleans host Villefranche in the Ligue 3 (France) on 31 Oct 2026, 13:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Orleans Over 0.5 Goals — Orleans Over 0.5 Goals. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Orleans had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 14. Villefranche had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 23 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Orleans's last 10 and 5 of Villefranche's last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Orleans averaged 0.57 goals scored and 1.43 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Villefranche averaged 0.89 scored and 3.22 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.20 goals from Orleans and 1.02 from Villefranche. From that it rates a home win at 63%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 16%, against 52%, 26% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Orleans (green) and Villefranche (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orleans | LDDLL | 0.90 | 1.40 | 40% | 30% |
| Villefranche | WLLLD | 0.90 | 2.30 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 63% | 1.48 |
| Orleans Win | 52% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ligue 3 matches that day
- Bastia vs Quevilly · 31 Oct 2026, 13:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Cannes vs Valenciennes · 31 Oct 2026, 13:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Fleury 91 vs Gobelins · 31 Oct 2026, 13:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 - La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01 · 31 Oct 2026, 13:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Le Puy Foot vs Caen · 31 Oct 2026, 13:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.20 - Rouen vs Concarneau · 31 Oct 2026, 13:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 - Versailles vs Aubagne · 31 Oct 2026, 13:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.36