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Ligue 3 · France
Bastia vs Quevilly prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 13:45 UTC · Stade Armand Cesari, Bastia
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bastia host Quevilly in the Ligue 3 (France) on 31 Oct 2026, 13:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Bastia had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 12. Quevilly had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Bastia's last 10 and 7 of Quevilly's last 10; 2 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bastia averaged 0.86 goals scored and 1.71 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Quevilly averaged 0.70 scored and 1.90 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.23 goals from Bastia and 1.12 from Quevilly. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 32%, against 49%, 26% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Bastia (green) and Quevilly (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 76% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Bastia Win | 50% | 1.83 |
| BTTS No | 50% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
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Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.20 - Orleans vs Villefranche · 31 Oct 2026, 13:45 UTC · Ligue 3
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Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 - Versailles vs Aubagne · 31 Oct 2026, 13:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.36