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Ligue 3 · France
Le Puy Foot vs Caen prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 13:45 UTC · Stade Charles Massot, Espaly-Saint Marcel
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Le Puy Foot host Caen in the Ligue 3 (France) on 31 Oct 2026, 13:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Le Puy Foot had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 9. Caen had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Le Puy Foot's last 10 and 4 of Caen's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Le Puy Foot averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Caen averaged 1.71 scored and 1.86 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.50 goals from Le Puy Foot and 1.47 from Caen. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 36%, against 43%, 26% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 81%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Le Puy Foot (green) and Caen (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Puy Foot | WWLWL | 1.20 | 0.90 | 40% | 30% |
| Caen | WLWLW | 1.90 | 1.30 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 61% | 1.52 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ligue 3 matches that day
- Bastia vs Quevilly · 31 Oct 2026, 13:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Cannes vs Valenciennes · 31 Oct 2026, 13:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Fleury 91 vs Gobelins · 31 Oct 2026, 13:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 - La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01 · 31 Oct 2026, 13:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Orleans vs Villefranche · 31 Oct 2026, 13:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Orleans Over 0.5 Goals @ 1.20 - Rouen vs Concarneau · 31 Oct 2026, 13:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 - Versailles vs Aubagne · 31 Oct 2026, 13:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.36