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FAW Championship · Wales
Porthmadog vs Brickfield Rangers prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Porthmadog host Brickfield Rangers in the FAW Championship (Wales) on 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.52, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Porthmadog had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 14. Brickfield Rangers had won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Porthmadog's last 10 and 2 of Brickfield Rangers's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Porthmadog averaged 1.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Brickfield Rangers averaged 2.33 scored and 1.17 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.98 goals from Porthmadog and 1.44 from Brickfield Rangers. From that it rates a home win at 24%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 47%, against 39%, 24% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 49%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Porthmadog (green) and Brickfield Rangers (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Porthmadog | LWWWW | 1.40 | 1.40 | 50% | 60% |
| Brickfield Rangers | WLWWW | 2.10 | 0.80 | 20% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.24 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.26 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.48 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.52 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.20 |
| Porthmadog Win | 39% | 2.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other FAW Championship matches that day
- Bangor City 1876 FC vs Ruthin Town · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · FAW Championship
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Buckley Town vs Holyhead Hotspur · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · FAW Championship
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals - Caersws vs Guilsfield · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · FAW Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.46 - Llanuwchllyn vs Bala Town · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · FAW Championship
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Penrhyncoch vs Mold Alexandra · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · FAW Championship
Published pick: Mold Alexandra Win @ 1.44 - Rhyl vs Newtown AFC · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · FAW Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 - Baglan Dragons vs Aberystwyth Town · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · FAW Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 - Pontardawe Town vs Ynyshir Albions · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · FAW Championship
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Swansea University vs Treowen Stars · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · FAW Championship
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals