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FAW Championship · Wales
Penrhyncoch vs Mold Alexandra prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Penrhyncoch host Mold Alexandra in the FAW Championship (Wales) on 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Mold Alexandra Win — Mold Alexandra to win. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Penrhyncoch had won 0, drawn 1 and lost 9 of their last 10 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 31. Mold Alexandra had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 26 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Penrhyncoch's last 10 and 6 of Mold Alexandra's last 10; 6 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Penrhyncoch averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.86 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Mold Alexandra averaged 3.33 scored and 1.17 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.56 goals from Penrhyncoch and 4.02 from Mold Alexandra. From that it rates a home win at 2%, a draw at 6% and an away win at 93%, against 18%, 20% and 62% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 93%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Penrhyncoch (green) and Mold Alexandra (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penrhyncoch | LLLLL | 0.40 | 3.10 | 30% | 60% |
| Mold Alexandra | WLWDW | 2.60 | 1.10 | 60% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.22 |
| Mold Alexandra Win | 64% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.63 |
| Mold Alexandra HT & FT | 44% | 2.10 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 37% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other FAW Championship matches that day
- Bangor City 1876 FC vs Ruthin Town · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · FAW Championship
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Buckley Town vs Holyhead Hotspur · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · FAW Championship
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Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 - Baglan Dragons vs Aberystwyth Town · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · FAW Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 - Pontardawe Town vs Ynyshir Albions · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · FAW Championship
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Swansea University vs Treowen Stars · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · FAW Championship
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals