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FAW Championship · Wales
Rhyl vs Newtown AFC prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Rhyl host Newtown AFC in the FAW Championship (Wales) on 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Rhyl had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 20. Newtown AFC had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 3 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Rhyl's last 10 and 2 of Newtown AFC's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Rhyl averaged 2.20 goals scored and 2.40 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Newtown AFC averaged 1.67 scored and 1.50 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.59 goals from Rhyl and 2.19 from Newtown AFC. From that it rates a home win at 8%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 74%, against 28%, 24% and 49% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 40%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Rhyl (green) and Newtown AFC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyl | DLLDD | 1.80 | 2.00 | 90% | 70% |
| Newtown AFC | WDWLW | 2.20 | 0.30 | 20% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.24 |
| Double Chance X2 | 73% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.55 |
| Newtown AFC Win | 49% | 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 40% | 2.35 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other FAW Championship matches that day
- Bangor City 1876 FC vs Ruthin Town · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · FAW Championship
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Buckley Town vs Holyhead Hotspur · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · FAW Championship
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Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Penrhyncoch vs Mold Alexandra · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · FAW Championship
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Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.52 - Baglan Dragons vs Aberystwyth Town · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · FAW Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 - Pontardawe Town vs Ynyshir Albions · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · FAW Championship
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Swansea University vs Treowen Stars · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · FAW Championship
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals