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FAW Championship · Wales
Caersws vs Guilsfield prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Caersws host Guilsfield in the FAW Championship (Wales) on 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.46, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Caersws had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 15. Guilsfield had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Caersws's last 10 and 5 of Guilsfield's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Caersws averaged 2.50 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Guilsfield averaged 1.33 scored and 1.67 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.80 goals from Caersws and 1.26 from Guilsfield. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 26%, against 40%, 24% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Caersws (green) and Guilsfield (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caersws | DDWLW | 2.20 | 1.50 | 60% | 60% |
| Guilsfield | DLWWD | 1.50 | 1.40 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 Apr 2026 · Guilsfield 4–1 Caersws
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.24 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.26 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.46 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.54 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 40% | 2.35 |
| Caersws Win | 39% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other FAW Championship matches that day
- Bangor City 1876 FC vs Ruthin Town · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · FAW Championship
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Buckley Town vs Holyhead Hotspur · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · FAW Championship
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals - Llanuwchllyn vs Bala Town · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · FAW Championship
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Penrhyncoch vs Mold Alexandra · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · FAW Championship
Published pick: Mold Alexandra Win @ 1.44 - Porthmadog vs Brickfield Rangers · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · FAW Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.52 - Rhyl vs Newtown AFC · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · FAW Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 - Baglan Dragons vs Aberystwyth Town · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · FAW Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 - Pontardawe Town vs Ynyshir Albions · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · FAW Championship
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Swansea University vs Treowen Stars · 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · FAW Championship
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals