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Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Spain
Mirandes vs Racing Ferrol prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Mirandes host Racing Ferrol in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (Spain) on 24 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Mirandes had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 14. Racing Ferrol had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Mirandes's last 10 and 4 of Racing Ferrol's last 10; 3 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Mirandes averaged 1.57 goals scored and 0.86 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Racing Ferrol averaged 0.86 scored and 1.00 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.96 goals from Mirandes and 0.88 from Racing Ferrol. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 35% and an away win at 30%, against 50%, 27% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mirandes | LDLWD | 1.10 | 1.40 | 30% | 30% |
| Racing Ferrol | WWWLW | 1.20 | 0.80 | 40% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 76% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.73 |
| Mirandes Win | 48% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Mirandes form and statistics
- Racing Ferrol form and statistics
- Primera División RFEF - Group 1 statistics
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Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30