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Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Spain

Cultural Leonesa vs Pontevedra prediction and preview

24 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsOdds 1.36Market probability 67%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Cultural Leonesa host Pontevedra in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (Spain) on 24 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Cultural Leonesa had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 8. Pontevedra had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 14 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Cultural Leonesa's last 10 and 7 of Pontevedra's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cultural Leonesa averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.22 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Pontevedra averaged 1.30 scored and 1.40 conceded across 10.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.28 goals from Cultural Leonesa and 0.94 from Pontevedra. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 26%, against 49%, 28% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Cultural LeonesaDWLDW1.500.8040%30%
PontevedraWLLDD1.301.4070%50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1272%1.28
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals71%1.33
Over 1.5 Goals67%1.36
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals66%1.44
Under 2.5 Goals57%1.70
BTTS No53%1.73
Cultural Leonesa Win49%1.83
Over 2.5 Goals43%2.10

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

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