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Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Spain
Cacereño vs Zamora prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cacereño host Zamora in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (Spain) on 24 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Cacereño had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Zamora had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Cacereño's last 10 and 6 of Zamora's last 10; 2 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cacereño averaged 1.64 goals scored and 0.64 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Zamora averaged 1.10 scored and 1.10 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.04 goals from Cacereño and 0.78 from Zamora. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 35% and an away win at 25%, against 34%, 29% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 May 2026 · Zamora 1–2 Cacereño
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.20 |
| Zamora Win | 35% | 2.45 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Primera División RFEF - Group 1 matches that day
- Cultural Leonesa vs Pontevedra · 24 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Ponferradina vs Barakaldo · 24 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC · Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Real Avilés vs UD Logroñés · 24 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC · Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 - Unionistas de Salamanca vs Athletic Club II · 24 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC · Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Mirandes vs Racing Ferrol · 24 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Arenas Getxo vs UD Ourense · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Deportivo La Coruña II vs Extremadura 1924 · 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30