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Liga Leumit · Israel
Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Maccabi Kiryat Gat host Maccabi Ahi Nazareth in the Liga Leumit (Israel) on 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.73, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Maccabi Kiryat Gat had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Maccabi Ahi Nazareth had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Maccabi Kiryat Gat's last 10 and 5 of Maccabi Ahi Nazareth's last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Maccabi Kiryat Gat averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Maccabi Ahi Nazareth averaged 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.22 goals from Maccabi Kiryat Gat and 0.76 from Maccabi Ahi Nazareth. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 22%, against 48%, 25% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 39%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Maccabi Kiryat Gat (green) and Maccabi Ahi Nazareth (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Kiryat Gat | DDLLW | 0.90 | 1.10 | 50% | 30% |
| Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | LWLLW | 1.00 | 1.70 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Maccabi Kiryat Gat form and statistics
- Maccabi Ahi Nazareth form and statistics
- Liga Leumit statistics
Other Liga Leumit matches that day
- Bnei Yehuda vs Kiryat Yam SC · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Hapoel Acre vs Hapoel Ra'anana · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
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Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Ironi Modi'in vs Maccabi Bnei Raina · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Maccabi Herzliya vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Kafr Qasim vs Ashdod · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44