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Liga Leumit · Israel
Kafr Qasim vs Ashdod prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kafr Qasim host Ashdod in the Liga Leumit (Israel) on 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Kafr Qasim had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 11. Ashdod had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Kafr Qasim's last 10 and 4 of Ashdod's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kafr Qasim averaged 1.56 goals scored and 1.22 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Ashdod averaged 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.04 goals from Kafr Qasim and 1.39 from Ashdod. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 44%, against 19%, 23% and 58% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kafr Qasim (green) and Ashdod (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kafr Qasim | LLWWW | 1.30 | 1.10 | 40% | 50% |
| Ashdod | DWWWW | 2.20 | 0.80 | 40% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Ashdod Win | 59% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga Leumit matches that day
- Bnei Yehuda vs Kiryat Yam SC · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Hapoel Acre vs Hapoel Ra'anana · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Hapoel Afula · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Hapoel Rishon LeZion vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Ironi Modi'in vs Maccabi Bnei Raina · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 - Maccabi Herzliya vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44