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Liga Leumit · Israel
Bnei Yehuda vs Kiryat Yam SC prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bnei Yehuda host Kiryat Yam SC in the Liga Leumit (Israel) on 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Bnei Yehuda had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 9. Kiryat Yam SC had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 27 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Bnei Yehuda's last 10 and 7 of Kiryat Yam SC's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bnei Yehuda averaged 1.73 goals scored and 1.27 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Kiryat Yam SC averaged 2.10 scored and 1.80 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.75 goals from Bnei Yehuda and 1.25 from Kiryat Yam SC. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 26%, against 54%, 24% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Bnei Yehuda (green) and Kiryat Yam SC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bnei Yehuda | DLWWW | 1.70 | 0.90 | 60% | 50% |
| Kiryat Yam SC | WDWWW | 2.70 | 1.60 | 70% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 15 May 2026 · Bnei Yehuda 2–0 Kiryat Yam SC
- 14 Apr 2026 · Bnei Yehuda 1–3 Kiryat Yam SC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 79% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.67 |
| Bnei Yehuda Win | 54% | 1.65 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga Leumit matches that day
- Hapoel Acre vs Hapoel Ra'anana · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Hapoel Afula · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Hapoel Rishon LeZion vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Ironi Modi'in vs Maccabi Bnei Raina · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 - Maccabi Herzliya vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Kafr Qasim vs Ashdod · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44