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Liga Leumit · Israel
Maccabi Herzliya vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Maccabi Herzliya host Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa in the Liga Leumit (Israel) on 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Maccabi Herzliya had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 13. Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa had won 2, drawn 0 and lost 8 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Maccabi Herzliya's last 10 and 4 of Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Maccabi Herzliya averaged 1.18 goals scored and 1.64 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa averaged 1.30 scored and 1.90 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.43 goals from Maccabi Herzliya and 1.00 from Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 25%, against 50%, 26% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Maccabi Herzliya (green) and Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Herzliya | DLLLD | 0.90 | 1.30 | 50% | 30% |
| Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | LLWLL | 0.70 | 2.20 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 10 Apr 2026 · Maccabi Herzliya 3–1 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga Leumit matches that day
- Bnei Yehuda vs Kiryat Yam SC · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Hapoel Acre vs Hapoel Ra'anana · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Hapoel Afula · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Hapoel Rishon LeZion vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Ironi Modi'in vs Maccabi Bnei Raina · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 - Kafr Qasim vs Ashdod · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Liga Leumit
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44